FNI Update June – Growth Above Trend

The Financial News index (FNI) is designed to track Norwegian GDP growth and the business cycle at high frequency. The underlying indicators are daily time series representing how much the media writes about various topics.

The FNI was last updated 30 June.

Following the results of May, the FNI index in June is slightly above the historical averages. This means that the Norwegian economy is still developing slightly above trend. The fall in the index in the first quarter of 2019 seems to have been transitory. The downturn at the beginning of the year was driven by uncertainty from abroad and the stock market, but this uncertainty has diminished.

News that has a positive impact on the index in June:

  • News about startups and results continue to increase the index.
  • New in June is that wages and bonuses also contribute positively to the index.

News that has a negative impact on the index in June:

  • The three most important negative contributions stem from IT technology, retail, and tourism.

chart (3).jpeg

The figure graphs the Financial News (FNI) with 68 percent confidence bands. The blue solid line demeaned quarterly GDP growth Mainland Norway, sourced from Statistics Norway (SSB). Please use the citation “FNI – Retriever/CAMP_BI” when using the index.

 

The next FNI update is August 6 2019.

  • To read more about the FNI, visit our website.
  • To read more about the use of textual data, we recommend CAMP working paper No 4/2016 Words are the new numbers: A newsy coincident index of business cycles by Leif Anders Thorsrud.

Previous FNI updates

For more information, contact Professor Hilde C. Bjørnland, BI Norwegian Business School, +47 464 10 767,  hilde.c.bjornland@bi.no

One thought on “FNI Update June – Growth Above Trend

  1. Pingback: FNI Update July – A Stronger Business Cycle – CENTRE FOR APPLIED MACROECONOMICS AND COMMODITY PRICES (CAMP)

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